SAN FRANCISCO – Safeway Inc.'s
fourth-quarter profit surged 77 percent to cap the grocer's best
performance in five years, a comeback driven by contentious cost
cutting and a recent makeover that has infused more elegance into
its stores.
Although the results released Thursday
exceeded analyst expectations, the showing still wasn't enough to
satisfy investors apparently disappointed by Safeway's slowing sales
growth and conservative outlook for this year. Safeway shares
dropped by more than 3 percent.
The Pleasanton-based company said it earned $307.9 million, or 69
cents per share, in the three months ended Dec. 30. That compared
with net income of $173.5 million, or 39 cents per share, at the
same time in 2005.
If not for a series of tax benefits,
Safeway said it would have earned 61 cents per share. That figure
was a penny above the average estimate among analysts polled by
Thomson Financial.
Safeway's fourth-quarter earnings gains
would have been less impressive if not for additional costs for
employee buyouts and store closures incurred at the end of 2005. On
an apples-to-apples basis, Safeway said its earnings for last year's
final quarter rose by 24 percent.
Fourth-quarter sales totaled $12.5
billion, a 4 percent increase from $12.05 billion in the prior year.
In a more telling measure of its health,
Safeway's “identical-store” sales, excluding gasoline, improved by
3.5 percent, slightly below the supermarket chain's pace earlier in
2006. The barometer basically measures sales at stores that have
been open at least a year without undergoing a significant overhaul.
Safeway is expecting sales growth to
remain roughly the same in 2007, an indication that its turnaround
may have reached plateau, said Jeff Embersits, a former industry
analyst who is now a portfolio manager for Shareholder Value
Management. Embersits is betting Safeway's stock will continue to
fall in the months ahead.
Although Safeway's sales growth is
tapering off, the grocer appears to have regained its stride after
stumbling through years of labor strife, losses from bungled
acquisitions and tougher competition from discount merchants like
Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
For all of 2006, Safeway made $870.6
million, its highest annual profit since earning $1.25 billion in
2001. Sales last year increased five percent to $40.2 billion.
Despite the company's momentum,
management's outlook for 2007 remained unchanged from projections
issued two months ago when Safeway forecast earnings of $1.90 to $2
per share, excluding special items.
Safeway already is “comfortably ahead” of
that pace so far this year, Chairman Steve Burd assured analysts
during a Thursday conference call. “Everything is working, from cost
controls to sales improvements,” Burd said. “The business is hitting
on all cylinders.”
Those words didn't appease investors as
Safeway shares shed $1.36, or 3.7 percent, to close at $35.60 on the
New York Stock Exchange. Although the company's stock price has
climbed by 50 percent since the end of 2005, it remains well below
of the highs reached in late 2000 and early 2001 when the shares
rose above $60.
Safeway's downturn began as Wal-Mart
Stores Inc. and other discount retailers began to sell more
groceries, luring more budget-minded shoppers from traditional
supermarkets saddled with higher expenses because of long-standing
commitments to workers represented by labor unions.
Burd, Safeway's chief executive for the
past 14 years, responded by trying to curtail the wage increases and
benefits of the grocer's store workers. The cost cutting decimated
employee morale and, in Southern California, provoked a bitter labor
dispute that lasted for more than four months during 2003 and 2004.
As Safeway negotiates a new labor
contract in Southern California, Burd vowed to hold the line on
costs again. “We will negotiate a contract that will allow us to be
competitive in the market,” Burd told analysts Thursday.
Burd offered little hope of having a new
Southern California deal in place when the current contract expires
March 5. He said Safeway hasn't agreed to a new labor contract
before the expiration of the previous deal in 19 of its last 20
negotiations. On average, it has taken an additional seven months
for Safeway and labor leaders to reach an accord, Burd said.
Besides lowering expenses, Burd has been
investing heavily to change the look and feel of Safeway's stores in
an effort to reel in more shoppers looking for something other than
the more mundane experience offered by Wal-Mart and similar
low-priced retailers. By the end of 2006, about 43 percent of
Safeway's 1,761 stores had adopted the new format.
Safeway hopes to have all its stores
remodeled by the end of 2009.